Racing vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.9%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4.6%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
17.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
12.6%
11.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1950 |
VCF
6 - 0
RAC
84%
9%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
RAC
3 - 0
VCF
41%
21%
38%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
RAC
5 - 1
FCB
40%
21%
39%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
FCB
4 - 1
RAC
85%
9%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SGL
2 - 1
RAC
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ALC
5 - 2
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
MUR
1 - 0
PUL
70%
16%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
ELC
0 - 1
MUR
34%
24%
43%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1950 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAR
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
BAL
4 - 2
MUR
42%
23%
36%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |