Racing vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
72%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
GRA
5 - 1
RAC
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
RAC
2 - 0
SEV
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
VCF
3 - 1
RAC
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
RAC
1 - 0
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ELC
2 - 0
RAC
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
RMA
4 - 0
BET
94%
5%
2%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VAD
3 - 1
RMA
13%
19%
68%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
RMA
3 - 2
FCB
77%
13%
10%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
OVI
0 - 0
RMA
11%
18%
72%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
RMA
3 - 0
MLL
95%
4%
1%
|
94 | 67 | 27 | 0 |