Racing vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 0
DEP
28%
29%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CDB
0 - 1
RAC
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
AVI
0 - 3
RAC
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RAC
1 - 0
CLH
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
RAC
2 - 1
ARE
66%
20%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 0
TOL
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
URD
0 - 0
LEI
17%
23%
61%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 4
LEI
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
GIM
0 - 4
LEI
50%
25%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 1
AFT
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |