Racing vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
RAC
0 - 2
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
COL
0 - 1
RAC
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
RAC
2 - 0
DEP
29%
32%
40%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
CAD
3 - 0
RAC
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
RAC
2 - 0
UES
46%
28%
25%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
GAN
0 - 1
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
HER
2 - 2
CCF
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
PON
2 - 0
HER
61%
26%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
HER
1 - 1
ONT
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
UPL
0 - 0
HER
38%
28%
33%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |