Racing vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
SDC
0 - 1
RAC
63%
19%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
CUL
6 - 2
RAC
61%
18%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
RAC
2 - 2
CEL
40%
21%
39%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
RAC
3 - 0
OVI
29%
21%
50%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
OVI
8 - 1
RAC
86%
8%
5%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
HER
3 - 0
CUL
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
CEL
5 - 0
HER
68%
16%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
HER
4 - 3
BET
47%
22%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 0
HER
65%
17%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |