Racing vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
CDC
4 - 1
RAC
39%
24%
37%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
RAC
3 - 2
UPL
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
DEP
1 - 0
RAC
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
RAC
0 - 1
BAD
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 1
RAC
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
LEV
2 - 0
GRA
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
GRA
2 - 0
PUE
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
REC
0 - 1
GRA
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
GRA
2 - 1
CDT
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
GRA
3 - 0
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |