Racing vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 3
RAC
75%
14%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 4
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 0
RAC
75%
13%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
GIR
4 - 0
RAC
39%
21%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
LEV
3 - 1
RAC
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
GRA
3 - 0
RCF
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
GRA
3 - 1
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
TOM
0 - 1
GRA
24%
22%
54%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
CAS
1 - 0
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
GIR
0 - 1
GRA
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |