Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-8
Racing vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
RAC
4 - 1
BET
66%
17%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
RCF
3 - 1
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
RSO
1 - 1
RAC
57%
19%
25%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
RAC
2 - 0
RCD
62%
20%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
ALC
4 - 1
RAC
66%
17%
17%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SPO
1 - 1
GIM
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
GIM
4 - 2
SPO
51%
21%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
GIM
3 - 0
RCD
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
MAL
5 - 3
GIM
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
GIM
5 - 2
HER
56%
20%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |