Racing vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
LEI
1 - 1
RAC
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
RAC
1 - 1
SDA
70%
21%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GIM
0 - 0
RAC
16%
25%
59%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RAC
2 - 1
TUD
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ATH
1 - 1
RAC
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
GER
0 - 1
IZA
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
ARE
4 - 1
GER
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
GER
1 - 1
MIR
18%
26%
56%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RSO
1 - 1
GER
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GER
0 - 0
UDL
29%
32%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |