Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-3
Racing vs UE Figueres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
RAC
1 - 0
HER
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 0
RAC
73%
16%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
FIG
1 - 2
RAC
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CAD
0 - 0
RAC
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
RAC
2 - 0
ATM
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
UE Figueres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
FIG
3 - 0
MON
90%
8%
3%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VIC
0 - 2
FIG
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
FIG
1 - 2
RAC
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
FIG
3 - 0
CDM
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
MHN
1 - 0
FIG
27%
26%
48%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |