Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
Racing vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
RSO
3 - 0
RAC
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
RAC
3 - 2
ZAR
57%
24%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 3
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
CUL
1 - 0
RAC
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
CUL
2 - 0
MIR
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
TRJ
2 - 0
CUL
53%
27%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
RUN
1 - 1
CUL
52%
28%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
CUL
0 - 0
ENS
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
CFP
1 - 0
CUL
42%
31%
27%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |