Racing vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
RAC
4 - 1
ALA
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
SAB
2 - 1
RAC
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
RAC
5 - 1
SPO
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
SSC
1 - 3
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
RAC
1 - 1
CDO
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
SFE
5 - 0
CAD
64%
19%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
RAY
4 - 0
SFE
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
SFE
2 - 1
CAA
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
MUR
1 - 0
SFE
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
SFE
3 - 2
REC
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |