Racing vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 0
RAC
75%
13%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
GIR
4 - 0
RAC
39%
21%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
LEV
3 - 1
RAC
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
RAC
1 - 0
BAD
68%
16%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
RSO
5 - 0
RAC
63%
18%
20%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
AZA
2 - 1
CAS
20%
19%
61%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
CAS
1 - 0
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
CAS
0 - 2
BAR
54%
21%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
RCF
2 - 4
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |