Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-5
Racing vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
HER
3 - 1
RAC
55%
21%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
RAC
2 - 1
SDC
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
RAC
5 - 1
CUL
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
CEL
2 - 1
RAC
74%
14%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
BET
3 - 2
RAC
59%
20%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 3
ATM
47%
23%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
SEV
8 - 1
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
CAS
0 - 0
VCF
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |