Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-0
Racing vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALA
71%
20%
9%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
OSA
0 - 1
RAC
32%
31%
37%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
RAC
1 - 1
IZA
71%
20%
9%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
CAS
0 - 4
RAC
24%
29%
47%
|
62 | 20 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RAC
37%
30%
33%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
CAS
0 - 0
SEL
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
COL
0 - 1
CAS
34%
28%
38%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
32%
29%
39%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
CAS
0 - 4
RAC
24%
29%
47%
|
20 | 62 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
42%
29%
30%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |