Racing vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.8%
Win probability
4.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.6%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.3%
5-0
8%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.4%
2.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
RAC
6 - 1
GIM
90%
7%
3%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 0
RAC
28%
21%
52%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
RAC
8 - 2
SAN
92%
6%
3%
|
60 | 23 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
RGJ
0 - 3
RAC
21%
19%
60%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
RAC
5 - 1
RAC
91%
6%
3%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
OSA
1 - 0
CDU
92%
6%
3%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
CDU
1 - 3
SDI
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
ZAR
7 - 2
CDU
90%
7%
3%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
CDU
1 - 1
IZA
83%
10%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
CDU
3 - 0
CDG
74%
14%
12%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |