Racing vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
RAC
1 - 0
MLL
43%
23%
34%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SPO
5 - 1
RAC
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
RAC
1 - 0
RCF
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
UPL
1 - 2
RAC
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
RAC
2 - 0
SDI
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
BUR
1 - 3
CAD
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
BUR
0 - 0
PUE
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
OSA
1 - 1
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
BUR
2 - 0
CDT
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
BUR
0 - 2
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |