Racing vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1966 |
RAC
1 - 0
GRA
63%
20%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
RSO
2 - 3
RAC
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
RAC
1 - 1
EUR
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
SPO
3 - 3
RAC
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
RAC
2 - 3
CDC
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
BUR
2 - 1
SDI
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
BUR
1 - 0
LLE
70%
18%
13%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
RSO
2 - 0
BUR
77%
14%
9%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
BUR
1 - 1
EUR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
SPO
3 - 0
BUR
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |