Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Racing vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
MLL
0 - 0
RAC
57%
22%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 3
ESP
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
OSA
2 - 1
RAC
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 0
BET
42%
25%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
OVI
2 - 1
RAC
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
RSO
2 - 0
BUR
84%
11%
6%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
BUR
2 - 2
PON
58%
21%
22%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
CDO
2 - 1
BUR
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
BUR
1 - 3
DEP
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
VAD
1 - 0
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | -1 |