Racing vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.8%
78.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RAY
4 - 2
RAC
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 1
SPO
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 0
RAC
94%
5%
2%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 0
ATM
27%
25%
49%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 1
RAC
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
7 - 1
LEV
87%
9%
4%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
93%
6%
2%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 2
FCB
11%
20%
69%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FCB
5 - 1
VCF
85%
10%
5%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 3
FCB
13%
20%
67%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |