Racing vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAC
34%
23%
44%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 1
RUN
85%
10%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
DEP
7 - 0
RAC
31%
23%
46%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
RAC
3 - 1
VAD
88%
8%
4%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
OSA
0 - 2
RAC
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
BAR
2 - 1
SLA
57%
19%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
RCF
4 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
BAR
3 - 3
RUN
56%
19%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
DEP
9 - 0
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |