Racing vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
RAC
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 3
BET
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 2
RAC
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RAC
0 - 1
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
RAC
5 - 0
NUM
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 0
NUM
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
DEP
1 - 2
ATM
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 4
OSA
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MLL
2 - 0
ATM
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 2
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |