Racing vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
FCB
6 - 0
RAC
88%
8%
4%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
RAC
2 - 1
SEV
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
DEP
4 - 2
RAC
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
RAC
1 - 1
OVI
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
RAC
2 - 1
ESP
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ATM
2 - 5
ATH
58%
19%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
OSA
3 - 1
ATM
28%
21%
51%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ATM
3 - 4
RMA
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
VCF
4 - 1
ATM
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ATM
5 - 0
CEL
75%
14%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |