Racing vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
46%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1929 |
RAC
1 - 1
ESP
33%
23%
44%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 2
RAC
86%
9%
5%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1929 |
ATH
0 - 0
RAC
77%
13%
10%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1929 |
RAC
1 - 3
RUN
36%
20%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
FCB
5 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1929 |
ATM
0 - 3
RMA
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1929 |
ATM
3 - 1
RUN
52%
20%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1929 |
RSO
3 - 3
ATM
62%
19%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
ATM
1 - 2
ARE
66%
17%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |