Racing vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
40.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
SEV
4 - 0
RAC
72%
15%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
RAC
4 - 2
DEP
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ALC
3 - 3
RAC
50%
21%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
ALC
1 - 2
RAC
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
RAC
4 - 1
LLE
88%
8%
5%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ATH
1 - 1
VAD
82%
11%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
MUR
3 - 6
ATH
19%
20%
62%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ATH
4 - 0
ATM
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
ATH
4 - 1
VAD
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1950 |
VCF
6 - 3
ATH
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |