Racing vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
OSA
3 - 1
RAC
44%
21%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
RAC
4 - 3
RMA
46%
22%
33%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
FCB
2 - 3
RAC
65%
17%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
OVI
4 - 2
RAC
64%
17%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
RAC
3 - 0
SEV
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
ATH
4 - 1
SEV
84%
9%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
ATH
5 - 3
HER
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1936 |
ATH
3 - 1
ATM
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1936 |
ESP
2 - 0
ATH
39%
22%
40%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |