Racing vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
ESP
4 - 2
RAC
57%
19%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
RAC
1 - 3
OVI
58%
19%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
ATM
3 - 1
RAC
36%
21%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
RAC
2 - 1
RSO
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
RAC
6 - 2
VCF
62%
18%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
ATH
4 - 0
SEV
85%
9%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATH
33%
23%
44%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
ESP
1 - 3
ATH
39%
23%
38%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
ATH
4 - 0
OVI
82%
10%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1934 |
ATH
0 - 3
RMA
77%
13%
11%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |