Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-5
Racing vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 3
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
EUR
5 - 0
RAC
42%
22%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
RAC
4 - 2
RUN
42%
20%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 0
RMA
19%
17%
64%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 1
RAC
69%
15%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
RAC
2 - 3
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
ATM
3 - 4
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
ATH
4 - 3
FCB
53%
22%
25%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
RUN
1 - 1
ATH
42%
23%
36%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
ATH
5 - 2
ARE
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |