Racing vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
RUN
2 - 1
RAC
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1925 |
RAC
1 - 1
ARE
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1925 |
RSO
4 - 0
RAC
62%
19%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1925 |
ARE
2 - 2
RAC
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1925 |
RAC
1 - 1
RSO
44%
24%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
ATH
1 - 3
RUN
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1924 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1924 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1924 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
ATH
6 - 1
CEL
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |