Racing vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.7%
Win probability
5.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.5%
10-1
0.7%
+9
2.2%
8-0
2.6%
9-1
1.4%
10-2
0.3%
+8
4.3%
7-0
4.1%
8-1
2.5%
9-2
0.6%
10-3
0.1%
+7
7.3%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
3.9%
8-2
1.1%
9-3
0.2%
10-4
<0%
+6
11%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
5.4%
7-2
1.8%
8-3
0.4%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
6.4%
6-2
2.5%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.9%
3.9%
Draw
0-0
0.3%
1-1
1.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
3.9%
2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
0.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
RCF
2 - 4
RAC
45%
23%
33%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
RAC
4 - 1
SPO
63%
17%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
RAC
8 - 0
SGL
86%
9%
6%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 1
RAC
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPO
58%
19%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
ARO
2 - 1
NUM
59%
19%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ARO
2 - 0
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
OSA
1 - 0
ARO
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ARO
0 - 3
SAB
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
ORE
4 - 1
ARO
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |