Racing vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCB
4 - 1
RAC
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 3
VIL
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
RAC
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 1
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 0
RAC
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALM
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 2
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 0
ALM
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
MIR
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
REC
0 - 2
ALM
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |