Racing vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 1
RAC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
RAC
0 - 2
SEV
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
RMA
5 - 1
RAC
83%
11%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
RAC
2 - 4
SLA
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
VCF
3 - 1
RAC
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
OVI
55%
25%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALA
45%
29%
25%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
ALA
2 - 0
MAL
50%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
VCF
3 - 0
ALA
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
GDE
2 - 1
ALA
56%
25%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |