Racing Veracruz vs Carranza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
RVE
48%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 0
RVE
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RVE
3 - 1
ADE
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DAG
0 - 1
RVE
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
JUS
3 - 3
RVE
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
JUS
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
HEN
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
COB
2 - 1
CAR
32%
24%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ESC
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VDB
1 - 2
CAR
25%
22%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |