Racing United vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+363%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
12º
11º
44
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 16% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 83% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RUF
1 - 0
CMF
14%
20%
66%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
RUF
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
RUF
1 - 1
VER
17%
22%
61%
|
8 | 55 | 47 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 0
RUF
73%
17%
10%
|
8 | 67 | 59 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
MPA
4 - 0
RUF
69%
20%
11%
|
9 | 70 | 61 | -1 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
DFC
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
MON
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
MOL
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
ARN
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |