Racing de Veracruz vs San Juan de Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
11º
6º
6
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing de Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
RVC
14%
18%
68%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RVC
2 - 0
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
RVC
70%
20%
10%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RVC
1 - 0
ZIT
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PDC
1 - 0
RVC
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Juan de Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDC
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 0
DEV
16%
19%
66%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
CAS
21%
20%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 75 | 56 | 0 |