RC France vs US Torcy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
1º
1º
3
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
97% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
RAC
17%
20%
63%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FBB
3 - 4
RAC
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
USB
3 - 1
RAC
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 2
DIN
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
US Torcy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UST
1 - 2
ASP
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UST
0 - 1
FLE
8%
14%
78%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
UST
0 - 3
VER
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
UST
1 - 3
PAR
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
IVR
2 - 0
UST
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |