RC France vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 2
RAC
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
RAC
11%
14%
75%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 1
USB
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VHO
1 - 3
RAC
3%
7%
90%
|
65 | 18 | 47 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 1
RAC
16%
21%
64%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 0
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LIL
12 - 0
GOL
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 30 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
LIL
30%
28%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 1
PSG
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
LIL
3 - 0
KLA
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |