RC France vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
3º
2º
24
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
RAC
10%
19%
71%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
RAC
13%
19%
68%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RAC
4 - 1
SAI
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 2
RAC
16%
22%
63%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
POI
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 1
EVR
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 1
CHA
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
CAE
50%
25%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 0
STP
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 2
GRA
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |