Racing Olavarría vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
0 - 2
RAO
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RAO
4 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DES
1 - 0
RAO
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 0
GIM
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
RAO
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RSA
3 - 0
RIV
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
JUU
0 - 0
RSA
33%
27%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 0
ALV
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 2
RSA
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
DFR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |