Racing Merida City vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Merida City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 1
GIM
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
RMC
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RMC
2 - 1
SAM
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 2
RMC
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RMC
4 - 0
CAB
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDS
38%
25%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
7 - 1
GUA
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 4
QUI
16%
19%
65%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
GUA
28%
23%
50%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
CAM
32%
24%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |