Racing Mechelen vs KFC Turnhout analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
13º
11º
34
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 56 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 52 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
58% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
82% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 18% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MEC
0 - 1
RAC
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
LON
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 0
RAC
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 2
PEP
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
0 - 0
RAC
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Turnhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BER
5 - 2
TUR
37%
24%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
4 - 3
SPO
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PEP
3 - 2
TUR
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BWI
0 - 1
TUR
35%
22%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 5
CAP
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |