Racing Mechelen vs Bocholter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
9º
5º
54
3º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
74% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 46 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LYR
2 - 1
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MEC
0 - 0
RAC
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 1
RAC
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
SPO
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
TON
2 - 0
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bocholter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
KVV
3 - 2
TON
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
KVV
2 - 1
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
RCL
2 - 0
KVV
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
KVV
2 - 2
LIL
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
KVV
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |