Racing Lermeño CF vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Lermeño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SJO
1 - 2
LER
55%
24%
22%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LER
2 - 0
INT
17%
20%
64%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
PAL
5 - 0
LER
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LER
2 - 2
UXA
40%
25%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CFB
5 - 2
LER
60%
22%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 3
TUR
12%
19%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 0
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
BEC
12%
22%
66%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
VIL
19%
24%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 3
VIL
15%
23%
61%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |