Racing Lermeño CF vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Lermeño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAB
4 - 1
LER
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LER
1 - 4
BAÑ
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NUM
0 - 0
LER
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LER
2 - 4
VAL
16%
23%
61%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SEG
4 - 1
LER
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
BEC
36%
26%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
STM
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
STM
1 - 1
CPC
13%
23%
64%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CFP
0 - 2
STM
61%
22%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
STM
1 - 2
NUM
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |