Racing Union vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 0
RAC
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 3
UKT
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
KAE
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 0
DIF
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CSP
1 - 1
RAC
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 0
KAE
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CSP
0 - 1
PRO
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RUM
2 - 1
PRO
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
DIF
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |