Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 3-2
RC Villalbés vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Villalbés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 2
RCV
59%
24%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
RCV
0 - 1
BOU
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RCV
2 - 1
ARO
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
RCV
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
RCV
2 - 2
UPH
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
ARO
3 - 0
UDO
55%
25%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
UDO
0 - 0
ARO
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RCV
2 - 1
ARO
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARO
4 - 2
SOM
66%
22%
13%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
UDO
2 - 3
ARO
31%
24%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |