Racing Montevideo vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LFC
3 - 2
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 3
REN
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DAN
1 - 1
RAC
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 1
RIV
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ETS
0 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
CER
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |