Racing Montevideo vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 0
RAC
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 0
ATE
62%
24%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 0
RAC
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
PRO
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 0
RAC
21%
27%
53%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 2
JUV
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CSY
1 - 0
SUD
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 5
CSM
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 1
SUD
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
1 - 0
UMO
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |