Racing Montevideo vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
13º
3º
8
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
RAC
4%
12%
84%
|
82 | 8 | 74 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 2
RAC
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
RAC
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
RAC
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
CER
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 0
PRO
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
CSM
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 1
PRO
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |