Racing Montevideo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 2
RAC
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RAC
5 - 0
CSM
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
RAC
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
PRO
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 0
LFC
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
REN
3 - 2
PEÑ
12%
19%
68%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
PEÑ
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PEÑ
2 - 4
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
COB
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
COB
0 - 0
PEÑ
36%
25%
40%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |